Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.757779 1.998531 2.262724 2.574564 2.933111 3.333068 3.813892
2025-11-23 1.396981 1.712163 2.086838 2.566697 3.167304 3.897244 4.856237
2025-11-30 1.217729 1.588206 2.058931 2.704692 3.573466 4.710089 6.323386
2025-12-07 1.061210 1.458162 1.991622 2.767503 3.878063 5.426808 7.779005
2025-12-14 0.916614 1.316617 1.880559 2.743117 4.045949 5.967185 9.064841
2025-12-21 0.786819 1.174362 1.743915 2.654210 4.095712 6.329198 10.127724
2025-12-28 0.731592 1.132428 1.745296 2.766989 4.460392 7.213215 12.145991
2026-01-04 0.681409 1.090310 1.738523 2.861812 4.803758 8.104746 14.316407
2026-01-11 0.631717 1.041865 1.713933 2.920832 5.090327 8.934589 16.508081
2026-01-18 0.585556 0.993138 1.681799 2.960260 5.343863 9.735976 18.773037
2026-01-25 0.529872 0.921447 1.601486 2.902236 5.408793 10.194507 20.440376
2026-02-01 0.470583 0.836849 1.488789 2.769794 5.313067 10.328077 21.461328
2026-02-08 0.430454 0.784159 1.430706 2.738721 5.421386 10.901238 23.561454
2026-02-15 0.392573 0.731738 1.367625 2.690521 5.489813 11.406154 25.614880
2026-02-22 0.379353 0.724724 1.390163 2.816982 5.940350 12.791676 29.960629
2026-03-01 0.359454 0.702412 1.380008 2.874017 6.249077 13.913712 33.902553
2026-03-08 0.332810 0.663720 1.332495 2.844803 6.360425 14.601125 36.894332
2026-03-15 0.302893 0.615267 1.259665 2.750696 6.308514 14.893384 38.913894
2026-03-22 0.294428 0.610842 1.279164 2.867120 6.772635 16.519915 44.890442
2026-03-29 0.284851 0.602986 1.290258 2.965281 7.206627 18.142895 51.218179
2026-04-05 0.273024 0.588966 1.286112 3.026435 7.556297 19.604304 57.402304
2026-04-12 0.260611 0.572376 1.274335 3.067322 7.859383 20.991267 63.678744
2026-04-19 0.242405 0.540815 1.224684 3.007006 7.882930 21.602399 67.629729